The Russia-Ukraine War in November 2025: A Month of Grinding Advances, Diplomatic Deadlock, and Winter's Shadow
- TWI
- Dec 1
- 4 min read
As the chill of late autumn settled over Eastern Europe, November 2025 became one of the most intense and consequential months in the fourth year of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Russian forces pushed deeper into Donetsk territory, Ukraine struck farther into Russian rear areas than ever before, and a flurry of international peace initiatives repeatedly crashed against Moscow’s maximalist demands. This long-read retrospective traces the key military, diplomatic, economic, and human developments that defined November 2025, offering a clear, chronological picture of a conflict that shows no sign of resolution as winter approaches.
Early November: The Battle for Pokrovsk and the Eastern Front
The month began with Russian troops tightening the noose around Pokrovsk, a critical logistics hub in Donetsk Oblast. By November 4, Russian assault groups had reached the southern outskirts of the city, exploiting thick morning fog to advance on motorcycles and light vehicles while Ukrainian drones struggled to spot them. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy acknowledged the “extremely difficult” situation but insisted the city had not fallen. Over the following days, intense street fighting erupted in the industrial zone, with both sides suffering heavy casualties.
Further north, Russian forces crossed the Oskil River in several places near Kupiansk, dislodging Ukrainian defenders from long-held fortified positions. Ukraine responded by airlifting elite special forces units by helicopter to secure the last remaining supply corridors into Pokrovsk—an operation that cost several lives when Russian air defenses engaged the landing zone.
Civilian suffering escalated in parallel. On November 2, a Russian missile struck a crowded shop in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, killing two and wounding dozens. Ukraine retaliated with drone strikes on residential buildings in Russia’s Volgograd region on November 16, causing damage but no fatalities.
Mid-Month: Deep Strikes, Energy Warfare, and Hybrid Threats
November saw Ukraine dramatically expand its long-range campaign against Russian oil and industrial infrastructure. Major fires broke out at the Sterlitamak Petrochemical Plant in Bashkortostan (November 6) and the Tuapse oil terminal on the Black Sea (November 11 and again November 29). These attacks forced Russia to temporarily halt fuel exports from Tuapse and contributed to a 35% year-on-year drop in Russian oil revenue.
Russia answered with its largest drone barrages of the war to date—over 1,000 Shahed-type drones in the single week ending November 16. Most were aimed at Ukraine’s already crippled energy grid, leaving millions without reliable electricity as temperatures dropped. On November 19, a Russian Kh-101 cruise missile completely destroyed a nine-story apartment building in Ternopil, killing 26 people, including families of Chernobyl liquidators, and injuring more than 100 in one of the deadliest single strikes of the year.
Hybrid incidents multiplied across Europe. Unidentified drones repeatedly buzzed Brussels and Liege airports, Polish railways carrying aid to Ukraine suffered mysterious explosions, and Russian reconnaissance balloons drifted over Lithuania and Latvia—prompting NATO to scramble fighters and briefly close Vilnius airspace.
Late November: Peace Proposals Collide with Battlefield Reality
Diplomatically, November was dominated by a rapidly evolving U.S.-brokered peace initiative. By mid-month, American envoys had narrowed an original 28-point proposal down to 19 points, dropping bilateral U.S.–Russia issues but retaining demands that Ukraine accept neutrality, recognize Russian control over annexed territories, and postpone NATO membership indefinitely. Kyiv rejected the draft as “capitulation in disguise,” while the Kremlin dismissed the European-backed version as “completely unacceptable.”
On November 20, Vladimir Putin visited a forward command post in military fatigues and reiterated Russia’s four non-negotiable conditions: full Ukrainian demilitarization, “denazification,” neutrality, and recognition of Crimea and the four annexed oblasts as Russian. Hardline Russian military bloggers openly called the American plan treasonous and vowed to fight on regardless of any agreement.
Despite the rhetoric, shuttle diplomacy continued. Ukrainian officials met Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in Istanbul on November 19 to discuss prisoner swaps and Black Sea navigation, while U.S. special envoy Steve Witkoff prepared to travel to Moscow in early December carrying the latest iteration of the plan.
Territorial Shifts and the Human Cost
By the last week of November, Russian forces had gained fire control over the vital E-40 highway after seizing heights in the Serebryanske forest and repeatedly entered the strategically important town of Kostyantynivka. In Zaporizhzhia Oblast, Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi admitted the situation had “significantly worsened, with Russian troops advancing meter by meter under massive glide-bomb support—over 5,300 such bombs were dropped in October alone, a pace that continued into November.
Ukraine kept the pressure on Russian rear areas. On November 29, drones struck the Beriev aircraft plant in Taganrog, where Tu-95 strategic bombers are repaired, causing large fires visible from kilometers away. Another strike hit a Nova Poshta sorting terminal near Kyiv the previous day, killing three workers and injuring dozens.
The United Nations reported that civilian deaths from long-range Russian strikes rose 26% compared to 2024, with November alone accounting for several of the deadliest incidents. Power outages affected 70–80% of Ukraine’s thermal generation capacity, forcing rolling blackouts and emergency imports from the EU.
Looking Toward Winter
As November drew to a close, the front line had shifted several kilometers in Russia’s favor in Donetsk, but at enormous casualties—Ukraine claimed over 1,160 Russian soldiers killed on November 30 alone—suggested the advance came at unsustainable cost. Russia continued importing artillery shells and missiles from North Korea and Iran, while Ukraine mobilized its youngest eligible age group (18–25) for the first time and raced to complete domestic production of long-range missiles.
The month ended with 271 reported combat clashes on November 30, blackouts deepening across Ukraine, and the world waiting to see whether December’s promised high-level talks in Moscow and Washington would produce even a temporary ceasefire—or simply harden positions further.
November 2025 will be remembered as the month when both sides demonstrated they could still hurt each other deeply, when peace proposals repeatedly foundered on the same irreconcilable red lines, and when the approaching winter promised to make an already brutal war even more unforgiving for soldiers and civilians alike. The fighting continues, the suffering mounts, and a just and lasting resolution remains as elusive as ever.

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