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Our mission

We transform the overwhelming stream of daily information into a single empirical indicator that clearly reflects the state of each specific conflict.
 

By combining machine intelligence with analytical review, we convert complex, fast-shifting events into a measurable and comparable index.

Our focus is not on abstract global stability, but on the concrete conflicts between countries — captured, quantified, and updated through a unified daily methodology. We continuously refine our model to ensure clarity, consistency, and real-world relevance as each situation evolves.

Data over guesswork. The TWI Index over information noise.

Now Tension War Index (TWI) avaliable for these conflicts

Russia | Ukraine

Tension War Index is a complex analytical initiative.

 

We deliberately do not try to cover all global conflicts at once. Each index requires deep research, a stable methodology, continuous source monitoring, and strict internal data validation.

 

At this stage, we are testing and calibrating our evaluation system on the Russia-Ukraine conflict. This allows us to stress test the model in an environment with extreme dynamics, high event density, and a large number of interacting variables. Only after we are confident that the methodology works correctly and consistently will we extend it to other conflicts and countries.

 

We are a small research team attempting to compress a massive and heterogeneous data landscape with countless variables into a single meaningful number. This is not a trivial task, but it is exactly the challenge we set out to solve.

Quality matters more than speed.

Recent updates

Re-use permitted with attribution and a link to the source. 

© 2025 Tension & War Research Initiative. All rights reserved.

Tension War Index is an independent research project. While we continuously improve our data sources and methodology, the index is provided for informational purposes only and may contain inaccuracies.

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